Power Rankings & Games We’re Betting (12/12)
Total YTD Stats: Record 7-3, P&L of $478 of 32% ROI (1)
Humble in victory, gracious in defeat. Blah blah blah. Like TI says, let the losers worry about losing. And let the bookies consider what a DIY Christmas will do to their marriages. We tagged ‘em right out of the gate with a 7-3 run, including getting the Canadiens through as +220 dogs on Tuesday. All told, we netted nearly $500 for the week, equating to a 32% ROI (return on investment)(1).
We hopped on the Caps at the right time, as they went 4-0 for the week (including 2-0 in our bets), and the model continues to like their underlying metrics. Jets are legitimate contenders and it’s only a matter of time before we start to see some momentum behind that narrative. We are going to get two great shots to back them against a fraudulent Kraken team and the listless Canucks.
On the flip side, perception is just so off on the Blues. Easy for people to recall the Cup winners from a few seasons ago, known for great defense and goaltending. This year is a different story, as the Blues’ play continues to sink to new lows. Take their penalty kill percentage, for example. It stands at a league-worst 65%, which projects to be the lowest figure in over a decade. Honestly, it may be even longer, but I stopped searching after a while. We are staying short with our thesis firmly intact.
Power Rankings – Week beginning December 12th:
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This week, here are the sides the model has identified as actionable:
Tuesday: TBL over SEA, SJS over ARI, CAR over DET
Thursday: CAR over SEA, BOS over LAK, PIT over FLA, EDM (if -150 or better) over STL, TBL over CBJ
Saturday: WPG over VAN, SJS (if +100 or better) over LAK
Sunday: WPG over SEA
(No action Monday, Wednesday and Friday)
Stay tuned for a recap of the action and the latest Power Rankings from Along the Ice next week!
Chaser
(1) P&L and ROI tracked using Action Network. P&L assumes wagers are to win $100 per hypothetical bet.
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